Gallia Lucciana vs Balagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
7º
7º
32
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
IST
1 - 1
LUC
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 0
NIC
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 0
LUC
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 2
RSV
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 1
LUC
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
EUA
56%
21%
24%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
IST
52%
22%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAL
54%
20%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAN
21%
25%
53%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +3 |