Lublinianka vs Korona Kielce II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
18º
18º
39
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
89% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lublinianka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
WIS
2 - 0
LUB
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LUB
0 - 2
WIE
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
LUB
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LUB
2 - 0
UTA
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
KSW
4 - 1
LUB
8%
16%
76%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Korona Kielce II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MSK
5 - 3
STA
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ORP
0 - 1
MSK
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MSK
1 - 2
SOK
35%
24%
40%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PBP
1 - 1
MSK
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
MSK
2 - 1
KSZ
30%
24%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |