VfB Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
HAM
2 - 1
LUB
17%
24%
59%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
LUB
0 - 0
ROT
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
OSN
2 - 0
LUB
41%
25%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 1
LUB
23%
24%
54%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
LUB
0 - 3
HOL
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
WER
2 - 2
BSV
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
WER
2 - 1
HAM
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
STP
4 - 2
WER
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
DIE
1 - 0
WER
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
WER
0 - 3
ROT
32%
26%
43%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |