VfB Lübeck vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
HOL
2 - 0
LUB
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
LUB
3 - 0
HAM
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
LUB
0 - 1
HAN
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
EIN
3 - 2
LUB
20%
26%
54%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1999 |
HOL
2 - 1
LUB
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
WER
1 - 1
CLO
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
WER
1 - 0
LUN
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
WER
3 - 1
KÖL
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
HOL
1 - 1
WER
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1999 |
MEP
2 - 4
WER
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |