VfB Lübeck vs VfL Herzlake analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
LUB
0 - 1
WER
72%
17%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
EBT
1 - 2
LUB
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
LUB
3 - 1
BSV
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
HAM
2 - 4
LUB
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
LUB
3 - 1
COH
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Herzlake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
HER
0 - 0
EBT
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
HER
4 - 1
CEL
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
SVL
2 - 2
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
HER
0 - 0
HAM
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
OSN
4 - 0
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |