VfB Lübeck vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LUB
0 - 0
SVS
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
LUB
2 - 0
VFB
41%
24%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
LUB
1 - 4
AAB
14%
19%
67%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 1
LUB
41%
23%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
EIN
0 - 1
LUB
25%
25%
51%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FUL
2 - 1
HOF
51%
22%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HOF
2 - 2
GLA
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HOF
4 - 2
FEY
28%
23%
49%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
HOF
1 - 2
STR
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HOF
1 - 2
ELV
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |