VfB Lübeck vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
LUB
6 - 0
STP
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
REU
1 - 3
LUB
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LUB
1 - 0
ROT
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
DRE
3 - 2
LUB
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
LUB
2 - 1
CHE
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
MSV
0 - 0
WAC
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
KOL
4 - 3
MSV
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
MSV
1 - 0
SGF
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
MSV
1 - 4
ROT
56%
23%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
HAN
4 - 1
MSV
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |