VfB Lübeck vs Holstein Kiel analysis

VfB Lübeck Holstein Kiel
53 ELO 36
5.2% Tilt 9.2%
2500º General ELO ranking 240º
90º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
70.6%
VfB Lübeck
18.2%
Draw
11.2%
Holstein Kiel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
VfB Lübeck
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.2%
Win probability
Holstein Kiel
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfB Lübeck
+11%
-6%
Holstein Kiel

ELO progression

VfB Lübeck
Holstein Kiel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfB Lübeck
VfB Lübeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 1999
LUB
VfB Lübeck
4 - 1
Eintracht Norderstedt
EIN
67%
20%
13%
52 39 13 0
21 Nov. 1999
LUB
VfB Lübeck
3 - 0
OSC Bremerhaven
OSC
73%
17%
10%
52 25 27 0
13 Nov. 1999
MEP
SV Meppen
0 - 0
VfB Lübeck
LUB
36%
26%
38%
52 47 5 0
06 Nov. 1999
LUB
VfB Lübeck
0 - 1
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
51%
24%
25%
53 51 2 -1
30 Oct. 1999
ISC
I. SC Göttingen
0 - 0
VfB Lübeck
LUB
19%
23%
58%
53 22 31 0

Matches

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 1999
WER
Werder Bremen II
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
69%
19%
12%
37 50 13 0
19 Nov. 1999
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 2
Lüneburger SK
LUN
43%
26%
31%
37 44 7 0
13 Nov. 1999
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
1 - 0
Holstein Kiel
HOL
26%
26%
48%
38 25 13 -1
05 Nov. 1999
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 0
Eintracht Norderstedt
EIN
49%
24%
27%
36 40 4 +2
31 Oct. 1999
OSC
OSC Bremerhaven
2 - 5
Holstein Kiel
HOL
38%
26%
36%
35 27 8 +1