VfB Lübeck vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1998 |
OSN
1 - 0
LUB
48%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
LUB
3 - 2
CLO
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
LUB
0 - 1
EIN
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
EBT
0 - 0
LUB
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
LUB
3 - 1
HER
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
HOL
5 - 1
LUN
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
WSV
0 - 0
HOL
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
HAM
1 - 1
HOL
56%
24%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
HOL
1 - 1
MEP
23%
26%
51%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
CEL
2 - 2
HOL
71%
17%
11%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |