VfB Lübeck vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
11º
9º
17
9º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 58 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 56 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 53 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 30 |
18º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 38.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 0
HAM
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 1
TOD
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HSV
5 - 2
LUB
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
DOR
2 - 7
LUB
7%
14%
80%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
RBS
0 - 5
LUB
9%
14%
77%
|
56 | 17 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
JED
3 - 1
HOL
33%
26%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 1
BRE
42%
23%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DRO
1 - 1
HOL
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HOL
0 - 0
OTT
52%
21%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HOL
3 - 3
KIL
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |