VfB Lübeck vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LUP
0 - 3
LUB
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
LUB
0 - 0
WOL
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
JED
0 - 4
LUB
29%
23%
47%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
HOL
2 - 1
LUB
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
VFB
5 - 1
LUB
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
HAM
2 - 0
HOL
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
HOL
2 - 2
EIN
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
WOL
2 - 0
HOL
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
HOL
2 - 1
LUB
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HOL
4 - 2
VFL
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |