VfB Lübeck vs Hansa Rostock II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
LUB
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
LUB
1 - 0
TUR
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
STP
1 - 3
LUB
18%
25%
57%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LUB
0 - 0
HAM
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GOS
1 - 3
LUB
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Hansa Rostock II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
TUR
5 - 1
HAN
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
HAN
1 - 2
HAM
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MAG
2 - 2
HAN
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
HAN
0 - 3
MEU
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TEN
1 - 3
HAN
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |