VfB Lübeck vs Hagen Ahrensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 5
LUB
10%
19%
72%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
KRO
0 - 2
LUB
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
LUB
2 - 0
TUR
82%
13%
6%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FLE
1 - 3
LUB
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LUB
4 - 0
TOD
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 0
HAG
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
HAG
1 - 4
HOL
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ALT
8 - 2
HAG
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HAG
0 - 0
HUS
43%
23%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HAG
2 - 0
HAR
47%
23%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |