VfB Lübeck vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
BOR
0 - 2
LUB
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
LUB
3 - 2
BIE
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
PAD
4 - 1
LUB
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2005 |
HER
1 - 2
LUB
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
LUB
2 - 0
FCU
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2005 |
F95
1 - 1
BOR
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
BIE
2 - 2
F95
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
F95
1 - 1
PAD
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
FCU
1 - 2
F95
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
F95
3 - 0
STP
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |