VfB Lübeck vs Bayern München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
BAR
1 - 0
LUB
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
LUB
0 - 1
OWI
45%
29%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
AHA
4 - 2
LUB
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
LUB
0 - 6
HAN
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
HOL
2 - 3
LUB
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |