VfB Lübeck II vs VFR Horst 1946 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
LUB
3 - 0
HEI
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FLE
1 - 1
LUB
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
NTS
2 - 0
LUB
17%
20%
64%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
HEI
1 - 2
LUB
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 1
LUB
38%
23%
40%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VFR Horst 1946
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VFR
0 - 1
VFR
21%
23%
57%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
VFR
1 - 0
HUS
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
HUL
2 - 2
VFR
71%
17%
13%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
VFR
3 - 1
ALT
41%
24%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
KRO
2 - 2
VFR
63%
20%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |