VfB Lübeck II vs SV Preußen Reinfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
17.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
15º
11º
47
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
EIC
2 - 1
LUB
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LUB
3 - 2
UNI
16%
17%
67%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HEI
0 - 3
LUB
57%
20%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LUB
0 - 1
FLE
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
5 - 2
LUB
39%
21%
40%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SV Preußen Reinfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PRR
3 - 1
DOR
60%
19%
22%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WEF
0 - 2
PRR
24%
20%
56%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PRR
2 - 2
ECK
44%
22%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HOH
0 - 4
PRR
41%
22%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PRR
3 - 1
VFR
45%
21%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |