VfB Lübeck II vs Heider SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
74.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
13º
16º
15º
45
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
91.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
HOH
4 - 2
LUB
37%
21%
41%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 2
SVE
51%
20%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
OLD
2 - 2
LUB
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 3
FLE
32%
21%
47%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ECK
0 - 2
LUB
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 1
UNI
59%
20%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
HEI
2 - 1
OLD
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HEI
3 - 0
SVE
80%
11%
8%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 5
HEI
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
OLD
5 - 4
HEI
21%
19%
60%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |