VfB Lübeck II vs Heider SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
67.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
6º
16º
8º
55
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HUS
2 - 4
LUB
40%
21%
39%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LUB
0 - 1
GWS
55%
20%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
2 - 4
LUB
46%
21%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUB
5 - 3
WEF
32%
21%
47%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 1
LUB
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
EIC
1 - 1
HEI
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HEI
9 - 0
FRI
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PAN
2 - 3
HEI
26%
20%
54%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HEI
3 - 1
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 4
HEI
58%
19%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |