VfB Lübeck II vs Hagen Ahrensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
0 - 0
LUB
20%
22%
59%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUB
5 - 3
DOR
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HEI
3 - 0
LUB
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LUB
4 - 1
SCH
87%
9%
4%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 2
LUB
17%
19%
65%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 1
HEI
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 1
HAG
37%
24%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 3
SCH
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
EIC
2 - 0
HAG
78%
13%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
HAG
6 - 1
HUL
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |