Luarca CF vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUA
0 - 3
REA
31%
23%
47%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LEA
4 - 0
LUA
73%
18%
9%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LUA
2 - 3
GIN
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 0
LUA
58%
22%
20%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LUA
1 - 2
URR
31%
27%
42%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COM
5 - 0
BAR
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
COM
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
VAL
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 1
COM
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 1
COM
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |