Luarca CF vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 0
LUA
65%
21%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LUA
0 - 0
COV
15%
23%
61%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
UPL
4 - 2
LUA
77%
17%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 1
LUA
71%
19%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LUA
2 - 1
URR
19%
23%
59%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LEA
3 - 0
LEN
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PRA
3 - 2
LEA
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2014 |
LEA
1 - 2
CUD
60%
23%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LEA
3 - 0
TAP
76%
17%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 2
LEA
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |