Lučko vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ZAG
2 - 1
LUK
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LUK
0 - 3
HNK
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ZAD
3 - 0
LUK
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LUK
0 - 0
HNS
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
HDR
1 - 2
LUK
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
HNG
0 - 0
HNS
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HNG
3 - 1
IMO
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
HNG
0 - 0
NKD
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ZAG
1 - 3
HNG
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HNG
0 - 0
HNK
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |