Loznica vs Rad Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
16º
14º
30
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loznica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LOZ
0 - 1
VRS
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAV
1 - 3
LOZ
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
LOZ
1 - 0
RSM
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MET
0 - 1
LOZ
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LOZ
1 - 3
INI
24%
27%
49%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 1
MAV
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 0
RAD
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 0
MET
34%
27%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
INI
0 - 0
RAD
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RAD
2 - 0
RNB
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |