Cup Last 16
Global 8-1
Litex Lovech vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
LOV
1 - 0
CHB
51%
25%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 1
LOV
18%
23%
60%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
LSO
0 - 2
LOV
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
LOV
2 - 0
LPL
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LOV
5 - 0
PIR
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 1
LOV
18%
23%
60%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 2
SVA
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RAK
2 - 2
SVA
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 1
LYU
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
PIR
3 - 0
SVA
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |