Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 5-1
Litex Lovech vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 2
LOV
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 0
KAL
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 3
LOV
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
LOV
4 - 1
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
SSO
0 - 1
LOV
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 2
LOV
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
MOR
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 2
RUD
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 2
BUD
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
RUD
0 - 1
MOG
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |