Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 3-1
Litex Lovech vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
SSO
1 - 1
LOV
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
LON
1 - 1
LOV
21%
23%
55%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
LOV
4 - 1
CHB
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
LOV
4 - 0
BER
85%
10%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
FKM
1 - 4
LOV
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2001 |
UCD
1 - 0
LON
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
LON
4 - 1
CAO
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
LON
1 - 1
LOV
21%
23%
55%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
BOH
1 - 0
LON
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2001 |
KIL
1 - 1
LON
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |