Lovcen vs Zeta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BOK
0 - 1
LOV
29%
31%
41%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
LOV
3 - 2
BUD
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PET
1 - 0
LOV
34%
30%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LOV
1 - 2
SUT
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MLA
1 - 0
LOV
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ZET
1 - 2
RUD
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
GRB
1 - 0
ZET
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ZET
3 - 0
MOG
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BER
1 - 1
ZET
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BOK
1 - 1
ZET
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |