Lovcen vs Sutjeska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
PET
1 - 1
LOV
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LOV
1 - 2
MOR
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ZET
2 - 1
LOV
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 3
LOV
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
LOV
1 - 0
MLA
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
SUT
1 - 0
ZET
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
RUD
0 - 1
SUT
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SUT
1 - 1
BUD
46%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
GRB
2 - 2
SUT
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
DEC
0 - 1
SUT
26%
30%
44%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |