Lovcen vs Petrovac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MOG
0 - 0
LOV
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
LOV
2 - 2
MOR
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ZET
2 - 0
LOV
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 0
GRB
35%
29%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BUD
2 - 0
LOV
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
PET
0 - 0
MLA
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
PET
0 - 0
MOG
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
PET
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
PET
2 - 0
ZET
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
PET
2 - 0
BUD
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |