Lovcen vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
MLA
7 - 2
LOV
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
LOV
0 - 3
ZET
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
DEC
1 - 0
LOV
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
LOV
0 - 2
SUT
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
GRB
0 - 3
LOV
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
MOR
6 - 1
RDB
77%
16%
8%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
IGA
0 - 1
MOR
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 0
FKC
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 1
MOR
19%
25%
56%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
IBA
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |