Lovcen vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ZET
2 - 1
LOV
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 3
LOV
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
LOV
1 - 0
MLA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FKC
0 - 1
LOV
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
LOV
1 - 0
ZET
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
RUD
1 - 1
MOR
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
4 - 0
ZET
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
BUD
21%
26%
54%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GRB
0 - 0
MOR
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 1
SUT
25%
29%
47%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |