Lovcen vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ZET
2 - 0
LOV
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 0
GRB
35%
29%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BUD
2 - 0
LOV
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
LOV
1 - 0
RUD
28%
29%
43%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
DEC
1 - 0
LOV
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
PET
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
MOR
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
MLA
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZET
20%
27%
54%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GRB
1 - 0
MOR
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |