Lovcen vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
MLA
0 - 2
LOV
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LOV
0 - 2
FKC
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DEC
0 - 0
LOV
39%
30%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ZET
1 - 0
LOV
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SUT
2 - 1
LOV
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
MOG
4 - 3
ZET
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
RUD
1 - 1
MOG
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 0
BUD
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
GRB
0 - 1
MOG
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
MOG
3 - 1
ZAB
63%
20%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |