Lovcen vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RUD
1 - 1
LOV
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ZET
2 - 1
LOV
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LOV
2 - 2
MLA
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
DEC
2 - 0
LOV
36%
32%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LOV
3 - 2
PET
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MOG
5 - 1
DEC
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
LOV
3 - 0
MOG
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 2
LOV
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
MOR
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 2
RUD
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |