Lovcen vs Igalo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LOV
1 - 2
GRB
48%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
LOV
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LOV
1 - 4
MLJ
30%
26%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 0
LOV
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LOV
1 - 0
BER
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Igalo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
IGA
0 - 2
BER
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GRB
2 - 1
IGA
34%
27%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
IGA
0 - 1
BOK
28%
29%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
INT
3 - 2
IGA
15%
22%
62%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
IGA
1 - 2
KOM
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |