Lovcen vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
PET
2 - 0
LOV
38%
30%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 5
LOV
35%
30%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
LOV
2 - 0
BER
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LOV
0 - 2
RUD
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GRB
1 - 1
LOV
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GRB
2 - 1
BER
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SUT
0 - 2
GRB
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
GRB
5 - 4
MLA
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 0
GRB
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GRB
1 - 1
LOV
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |