Lovcen vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
LOV
35%
30%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
LOV
0 - 3
RUD
33%
29%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BER
1 - 2
LOV
47%
27%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LOV
1 - 1
DEC
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SUT
1 - 1
LOV
57%
26%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BUD
4 - 1
GRB
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GRB
2 - 0
MOR
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
RUD
1 - 0
GRB
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
GRB
5 - 0
BER
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
GRB
4 - 3
MLA
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |