Lovcen vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
GRB
2 - 0
LOV
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
LOV
32%
29%
40%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LOV
2 - 2
IKD
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ZET
2 - 0
LOV
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
LOV
1 - 1
BUD
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
DEC
2 - 1
IKD
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ZET
3 - 0
DEC
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
DEC
1 - 2
PET
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MLA
2 - 0
DEC
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DEC
0 - 1
RUD
34%
29%
38%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |