Lovcen vs Bar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SUT
1 - 2
LOV
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MLA
1 - 1
LOV
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PET
1 - 0
LOV
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LOV
0 - 1
MOG
26%
27%
48%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
LOV
33%
30%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
PET
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MOG
3 - 1
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
ZET
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GRB
3 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |