Lousada vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
55.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lousada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
7 - 1
LOU
79%
15%
7%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MIR
4 - 1
LOU
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
LOU
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 2
OSL
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
LOU
65%
22%
12%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAM
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OSL
1 - 0
VAR
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FAM
0 - 1
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 1
MAC
72%
19%
10%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |