Lourinhanense vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourinhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 0
LOU
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 0
ALC
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
LOU
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
FAT
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +4 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
LOU
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
CAL
47%
23%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAR
16%
21%
64%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
UDL
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
ADP
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FAT
4 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |