Loures vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
ORI
4 - 2
LOU
67%
20%
14%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 3
PIN
44%
26%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FER
5 - 1
LOU
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
BEN
30%
25%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LOU
0 - 3
MAF
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
MAF
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 1
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 1
SER
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SER
1 - 4
ORI
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PIN
3 - 3
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |