Loures vs O Elvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SIN
4 - 0
LOU
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 0
CLU
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ORI
1 - 4
LOU
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 1
1DE
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
IDE
0 - 1
LOU
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
OEL
0 - 1
CAS
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
PRA
2 - 0
OEL
30%
24%
47%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
OEL
0 - 4
OPE
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
OEL
0 - 1
SIN
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CLU
2 - 1
OEL
9%
15%
77%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | -1 |