Loures vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 1
LOU
37%
28%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 2
LOU
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 2
ELE
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 1
ORI
41%
25%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALJ
1 - 4
LOU
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
MAF
20%
24%
57%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ELE
0 - 2
MAF
15%
26%
60%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 1
FAT
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MAF
5 - 1
VIT
74%
18%
9%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 7
MAF
16%
25%
59%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | +1 |