Loures vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 2
ORI
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SAC
2 - 0
LOU
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
USA
0 - 0
LOU
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LOU
3 - 1
COR
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
LOU
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
IDE
0 - 3
VAL
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
IDE
1 - 0
BEL
13%
24%
63%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PRA
0 - 1
IDE
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PER
2 - 0
IDE
27%
25%
49%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
IDE
3 - 2
FAB
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |