Loures vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
GDU
0 - 3
LOU
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 8 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
SAC
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ALV
2 - 1
LOU
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 0
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SFU
1 - 1
LOU
14%
20%
66%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
GON
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GON
7 - 0
SPO
77%
14%
8%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
GON
1 - 1
SAL
16%
23%
61%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 0
GON
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -3 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GON
1 - 0
ARO
13%
23%
64%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |