Loures vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ELE
2 - 2
LOU
23%
27%
51%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PRA
5 - 2
LOU
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 0
FAT
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 2
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SAC
0 - 1
LOU
51%
27%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
PRA
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 4
VIL
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
1DE
2 - 0
ALC
33%
27%
41%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAL
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 0
ALC
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |