Loures vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SIN
1 - 0
LOU
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 1
CAL
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
LOU
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 0
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SCG
0 - 0
LOU
10%
21%
70%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 1
1DE
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
1DE
0 - 0
TOR
28%
28%
44%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
1DE
33%
27%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
1DE
0 - 1
MAF
22%
28%
50%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ELE
2 - 1
1DE
24%
27%
50%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |