Loures U15 vs Benfica U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
85.4%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.3%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.6%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.7%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
9º
9º
49
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loures U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CAD
0 - 3
LOU
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
LOU
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 2
LOU
27%
21%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 2
OEI
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 0
RSC
10%
15%
75%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BNF
4 - 0
SAC
90%
8%
2%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 4
BNF
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
BNF
4 - 3
VIT
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
BNF
4 - 2
BRA
42%
24%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
BNF
65%
19%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |